BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 3A Class Rank: 2 Conference: (11-5) Overall: (21-6) Overall Strength =   95.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Home    W    92.51  78   61   4A   33 ( 5-17) Iowa City High         -2.99     19.99                      
  2 12/07/2002 Away    W    99.70  61   60   4A    3 (18- 5) Dubuque Wahlert         4.20     -3.20                      
  3 12/10/2002 Home    W    89.72  57   45   3A   10 (10-12) Central Clinton        -5.78     17.78                      
  4 12/13/2002 Away    W *  96.37  60   47   4A   21 (14- 8) Bettendorf              0.87     12.13                      
  5 12/17/2002 Home    W * 111.45 101   58   4A   45 ( 3-18) Clinton                15.95     27.05                      
  6 12/20/2002 Home    L *  78.48  60   63   4A   18 (16- 6) Muscatine             -17.02     14.02                      
  7 12/21/2002 Neutral W    95.50  60   54   EX   11 ( 0- 1) Rock Island Alleman    -0.00      6.00                      
  8 01/03/2003 Away    W    93.13  68   58   4A   20 (11-11) Iowa City West         -2.36     12.36                      
  9 01/07/2003 Away    W *  97.30  45   35   4A   13 (16- 6) Pleasant Valley         1.80      8.20                      
 10 01/10/2003 Away    L *  86.85  75   84   4A    4 (21- 5) Eldridge North Scott   -8.65     -0.35                      
 11 01/14/2003 Away    W *  79.52  51   47   4A   39 ( 3-18) Davenport West        -15.98     19.98                      
 12 01/17/2003 Home    W *  92.03  50   38   4A   22 (11-13) Davenport Central      -3.47     15.47                      
 13 01/24/2003 Home    W * 119.28  85   35   4A   44 ( 4-17) Burlington             23.78     26.22                      
 14 01/29/2003 Away    W * 114.40  85   56   4A   16 (13-11) Davenport North        18.90     10.10                      
 15 01/31/2003 Away    W *  93.69  76   54   4A   45 ( 3-18) Clinton                -1.81     23.81                      
 16 02/07/2003 Away    L *  82.72  37   39   4A   18 (16- 6) Muscatine             -12.77     10.77                      
 17 02/11/2003 Unknown W * 139.43  57    0   4A   13 (16- 6) Pleasant Valley        43.93     13.07                      
 18 02/14/2003 Unknown W * 131.50  53    0   4A   21 (14- 8) Bettendorf             36.00     17.00                      
 19 02/18/2003 Unknown L *  10.47   0   87   4A    4 (21- 5) Eldridge North Scott  -85.03     -1.97                      
 20 02/21/2003 Home    W *  94.27  73   51   4A   39 ( 3-18) Davenport West         -1.23     23.23                      
 21 02/28/2003 Away    L *  82.27  50   51   4A   22 (11-13) Davenport Central     -13.22     12.22                      
 22 03/03/2003 Home    W    97.13  70   50   3A   17 (16- 5) Washington              1.63     18.37                      
 23 03/06/2003 Neutral W    96.34  48   31   3A   10 (10-12) Central Clinton         0.85     16.15                      
 24 03/10/2003 Neutral W   114.90  77   35   3A   30 (19- 6) Central Lee            19.40     22.60                      
 25 03/18/2003 Neutral W   109.10  53   34   3A    6 (19- 5) Spencer                13.60      5.40                      
 26 03/20/2003 Neutral L    94.25  66   67   3A    3 (24- 2) Harlan                 -1.25      0.25                      
 27 03/22/2003 Neutral W    86.15  59   51   3A   14 (23- 4) Mount Vernon           -9.35     17.35                      
      Averages              95.50  61.3 47.8

Best game:  139.43 = 57 point win over Pleasant Valley
Worst game:  10.47 = 87 point loss to Eldridge North Scott
Team stdev:  22.64